📚 SQA Higher Statistics: Quick Reference Handbook of Formulas and Theorems | SQA 高等统计:公式定理速查手册
This quick-reference handbook brings together the essential formulas, notation and theorems required for the SQA Higher Statistics course. It is designed as a last-minute revision aid and a structured summary to support your problem-solving.
这份速查手册汇集了 SQA 高等统计课程必需的核心公式、符号与定理,既可作为考前快速复习工具,也能为解题提供结构化参考。
1. Probability Rules and Notation | 概率规则与符号
The probability of an event A is written P(A), and for any event, 0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1. The complement of A is denoted A’ and P(A’) = 1 − P(A).
事件 A 的概率记作 P(A),且满足 0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1。A 的补集用 A’ 表示,P(A’) = 1 − P(A)。
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)
The addition rule: P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B). For mutually exclusive events, P(A ∩ B) = 0, so the rule simplifies.
加法公式:P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)。若事件互斥,则 P(A ∩ B) = 0,公式可简化。
Multiplication rule for independent events: P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B).
独立事件的乘法公式:P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B)。
2. Conditional Probability and Bayes’ Theorem | 条件概率与贝叶斯定理
Conditional probability quantifies the chance of event A occurring given that B has occurred.
条件概率用于度量在事件 B 已发生的条件下事件 A 发生的可能性。
P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B), P(B) > 0
Bayes’ theorem links a conditional probability to its inverse, using the total probability P(B) = P(B|A)P(A) + P(B|A’)P(A’).
贝叶斯定理通过全概率公式 P(B) = P(B|A)P(A) + P(B|A’)P(A’) 将条件概率与其逆概率联系起来。
P(A | B) = P(B | A) × P(A) / P(B)
3. Discrete Random Variables: Expectation and Variance | 离散随机变量的期望与方差
For a discrete random variable X taking values x with probability P(X = x), the expectation (mean) and variance are defined as follows.
对于离散随机变量 X,取值为 x 且概率为 P(X = x),其期望(均值)与方差定义如下。
E(X) = μ = Σ x · P(X = x)
Var(X) = σ² = Σ(x − μ)² P(X = x) = E(X²) − [E(X)]²
The standard deviation is σ = √Var(X). For linear transformations: E(aX + b) = aE(X) + b and Var(aX + b) = a²Var(X).
标准差为 σ = √Var(X)。线性变换的性质:E(aX + b) = aE(X) + b,Var(aX + b) = a²Var(X)。
4. Binomial Distribution | 二项分布
A binomial distribution models the number of successes in n independent trials, each with constant probability of success p.
二项分布用于描述 n 次独立试验中成功的次数,每次试验成功的概率 p 恒定。
X ~ B(n, p)
P(X = r) = C(n, r) pʳ (1 − p)ⁿ⁻ʳ, where C(n, r) = n! / [r!(n − r)!]
Mean: E(X) = np. Variance: Var(X) = np(1 − p). The distribution is symmetric only when p = 0.5.
均值:E(X) = np;方差:Var(X) = np(1 − p)。仅当 p = 0.5 时分布呈对称形态。
5. Poisson Distribution | 泊松分布
The Poisson distribution models the number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space, with a known constant mean rate λ.
泊松分布用于描述固定时间或空间区间内发生的事件次数,其平均发生率 λ 为常数。
X ~ Po(λ)
P(X = r) = e⁻ᵞ λʳ / r! (where γ = λ, essentially e⁻₢ λʳ / r!) actually write e⁻₊ λʳ / r! with e^{-λ}) Let’s use: e^−λ λʳ / r!
We represent it clearly: P(X = r) = e⁻ₐ λʳ / r! (using −λ as e to the power of minus lambda). But let’s just standardise: P(X = r) = e⁻⁴⁾? No. Use text: e^(−λ) λ^r / r! but with Unicode. We can do e⁻⁽⁾? Actually better: write exp(−λ) · λʳ / r!. I’ll use e⁻⁴⁺? To avoid confusion, I’ll write e⁻• λʳ / r! but I’ll use the standard representation: e^{-λ} is not allowed. I’ll use “e^−λ” with minus sign? Unicode minus is −. So e−λ is a bit odd. I’ll stick with the notation from the SQA formula sheet: P(X=r) = e⁻λ λʳ / r!, using superscript minus lambda: e⁻λ λʳ / r!. This requires superscript minus and lambda: λ is U+03BB, superscript minus is U+207B, so e⁻λ. That works: e⁻λ λʳ / r! . Yes. So: e⁻λ λʳ / r!.
P(X = r) = e⁻λ λʳ / r!
Mean = λ, Variance = λ. The Poisson distribution can approximate a binomial B(n, p) when n is large and p is small, with λ = np.
均值 = λ,方差 = λ。当 n 很大且 p 很小时,泊松分布可近似二项分布 B(n, p),取 λ = np。
6. Normal Distribution and Standardisation | 正态分布与标准化
The normal distribution is a continuous, symmetric bell-shaped curve described by its mean μ and variance σ².
正态分布是一种连续、对称的钟形曲线,由均值 μ 和方差 σ² 描述。
X ~ N(μ, σ²)
To find probabilities, we convert X into a standard normal variable Z with mean 0 and variance 1.
为求概率,我们将 X 转化为均值为 0、方差为 1 的标准正态变量 Z。
Z = (X − μ) / σ, Z ~ N(0, 1)
Standard normal tables give Φ(z) = P(Z < z). For P(Z > z) use 1 − Φ(z), and for intervals use the difference. Inverse normal calculations find z for a given cumulative probability.
标准正态表提供 Φ(z) = P(Z < z)。P(Z > z) 可用 1 − Φ(z) 计算,区间概率使用差值。逆正态计算可根据给定的累积概率求得 z 值。
7. Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem | 抽样分布与中心极限定理
When taking samples of size n from a population with mean μ and standard deviation σ, the sample mean X̄ is itself a random variable.
从均值为 μ、标准差为 σ 的总体中抽取容量为 n 的样本时,样本均值 X̄ 本身也是一个随机变量。
If X ~ N(μ, σ²), then X̄ ~ N(μ, σ²/n)
The standard deviation of the sample mean is called the standard error: SE = σ / √n.
样本均值的标准差称为标准误:SE = σ / √n。
Central Limit Theorem (CLT): For a sufficiently large sample size (usually n ≥ 30), the distribution of X̄ is approximately normal regardless of the population shape, with mean μ and standard error σ/√n.
中心极限定理:当样本量足够大(通常 n ≥ 30),无论总体形态如何,X̄ 的抽样分布均近似服从正态分布,其均值为 μ,标准误为 σ/√n。
8. Confidence Intervals | 置信区间
A confidence interval provides a range of plausible values for a population parameter, based on sample data and a chosen confidence level (typically 95%).
置信区间基于样本数据和在选定的置信水平(通常为 95%)下,为总体参数提供一个合理的取值范围。
For a population mean with known σ (z-interval):
总体均值 σ 已知时的 z 区间:
x̄ ± z* × (σ / √n)
For a population mean with unknown σ (t-interval, using sample standard deviation s):
总体均值 σ 未知时的 t 区间(使用样本标准差 s):
x̄ ± t* × (s / √n) , degrees of freedom ν = n − 1
For a population proportion p (using sample proportion p̂ = x/n):
总体比例的置信区间(使用样本比例 p̂ = x/n):
p̂ ± z* × √[p̂(1 − p̂) / n]
The critical values z* or t* are determined from the required confidence level (e.g., z* = 1.96 for 95% confidence).
临界值 z* 或 t* 由
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