What is Market Failure? | 什么是市场失灵?
在完美竞争市场中,价格机制通过供需力量有效分配资源,实现社会福利最大化。然而,当自由市场无法实现资源的有效分配时 – 即市场失灵发生时 – 社会无法达到最优结果。
In a perfectly competitive market, the price mechanism allocates resources efficiently through the forces of supply and demand, maximising social welfare. However, when the free market fails to achieve an efficient allocation of resources – when market failure occurs – society cannot reach the optimal outcome.
市场失灵的核心含义是:市场均衡(私人成本等于私人收益)与社会最优(社会成本等于社会收益)之间出现了偏离。当存在外部性、公共物品、信息不对称或市场力量时,市场价格无法反映全部的社会成本和收益。
The core meaning of market failure is this: a divergence emerges between the market equilibrium (where private cost equals private benefit) and the social optimum (where social cost equals social benefit). When externalities, public goods, information asymmetries, or market power exist, the market price fails to reflect the full social costs and benefits.
对A-Level经济学学生而言,理解市场失灵不仅是考试要求,更是分析现实世界政策问题的基础框架。从碳排放到疫苗接种,从交通拥堵到公共广播,市场失灵的概念渗透在经济政策的每一个角落。
For A-Level Economics students, understanding market failure is not merely an exam requirement – it is the foundational framework for analysing real-world policy problems. From carbon emissions to vaccination, from traffic congestion to public broadcasting, the concept of market failure permeates every corner of economic policy.
Types of Market Failure | 市场失灵的类型
Edexcel A-Level经济学大纲将市场失灵分为几大类型:外部性(正外部性和负外部性)、公共物品、信息不对称、以及市场力量的滥用(垄断权力)。本节逐一概述这些类型,为后续深入分析奠定基础。
The Edexcel A-Level Economics specification categorises market failure into several types: externalities (positive and negative), public goods, information asymmetry, and the abuse of market power (monopoly power). This section outlines each type, laying the groundwork for deeper analysis later.
外部性是指经济交易对第三方产生的影响,这些影响未能在市场价格中得到体现。当第三方受到负面影响时,称为负外部性;当第三方获得意外收益时,称为正外部性。外部性是市场失灵最常见的来源,也是政策干预最频繁的领域。
Externalities are the spillover effects of an economic transaction on third parties – effects not reflected in the market price. When third parties are negatively affected, this is a negative externality; when they receive unintended benefits, it is a positive externality. Externalities are the most common source of market failure and the most frequent target of policy intervention.
公共物品具有非竞争性和非排他性两个特征 – 意味着一个人消费该物品不会减少他人可用的数量,且无法阻止任何人享用该物品。由于私人企业无法从提供公共物品中获利,市场将供应不足,需要政府介入。
Public goods possess two characteristics: non-rivalry and non-excludability – meaning one person’s consumption does not reduce the amount available to others, and no one can be prevented from enjoying the good. Since private firms cannot profit from providing public goods, the market will under-supply them, necessitating government intervention.
信息不对称发生在交易一方比另一方拥有更多或更好的信息时。这可能导致逆向选择(交易前)和道德风险(交易后),使市场无法有效运作。二手车市场和保险市场是典型的例子。
Information asymmetry occurs when one party in a transaction possesses more or better information than the other. This can lead to adverse selection (before the transaction) and moral hazard (after the transaction), preventing markets from operating efficiently. The used-car market and insurance markets are classic examples.
Negative Externalities of Production | 生产的负外部性
生产的负外部性发生在企业的生产活动对第三方造成损害,但企业并未承担全部成本时。边际社会成本(MSC)高于边际私人成本(MPC),二者之间的差额就是外部成本。
Negative externalities of production occur when a firm’s production activities impose harm on third parties, but the firm does not bear the full cost. The marginal social cost (MSC) exceeds the marginal private cost (MPC), and the difference between them is the external cost.
典型例子包括:工厂排放废水污染河流,影响下游渔民和居民;燃煤发电站排放二氧化硫导致酸雨,损害农作物和建筑物;石油开采造成环境破坏,影响当地旅游业。在这些案例中,企业仅考虑自身生产成本(原材料、劳动力、设备),而忽略了对环境和社会造成的损害。
Classic examples include: factories discharging wastewater into rivers, harming downstream fishermen and residents; coal-fired power stations emitting sulphur dioxide causing acid rain that damages crops and buildings; oil extraction causing environmental destruction that impacts local tourism. In these cases, firms consider only their own production costs (raw materials, labour, equipment) while ignoring the damage inflicted on the environment and society.
在图上,MPC曲线位于MSC曲线下方。自由市场均衡在MPC=MPB(边际私人收益)处,产量为Qm。但社会最优均衡应在MSC=MSB处,产量为Qo。由于Qm > Qo,市场过度生产了产生负外部性的商品 – 资源配置过多。
On a diagram, the MPC curve lies below the MSC curve. The free market equilibrium occurs where MPC = MPB (marginal private benefit), at output Qm. But the social optimum should be where MSC = MSB, at output Qo. Since Qm > Qo, the market overproduces goods with negative production externalities – too many resources are allocated to their production.
由此产生的福利损失(deadweight loss)等于MSC与MSB之间、从Qo到Qm产量范围内的三角形区域。这个福利损失代表了社会承担但市场未定价的净损失。
The resulting deadweight loss equals the triangular area between the MSC and MSB curves over the output range from Qo to Qm. This welfare loss represents the net loss borne by society that the market has not priced in.
Negative Externalities of Consumption | 消费的负外部性
消费的负外部性发生在个人消费某商品或服务给第三方带来成本,但该个人并未为这些成本付费时。边际社会收益(MSB)低于边际私人收益(MPB),二者之差即为外部成本。
Negative externalities of consumption occur when an individual’s consumption of a good or service imposes costs on third parties, but the individual does not pay for those costs. The marginal social benefit (MSB) is lower than the marginal private benefit (MPB), and the difference is the external cost.
吸烟是最经典的例子:吸烟者获得尼古丁带来的满足感(私人收益),但二手烟危害周围人群的健康,增加公共医疗系统的负担。其他例子包括:过量饮酒导致的反社会行为和NHS负担;驾驶高油耗汽车加剧空气污染和气候变化;过度使用社交媒体造成的注意力和心理健康问题。
Smoking is the classic example: smokers gain the satisfaction of nicotine (private benefit), but second-hand smoke harms the health of those around them and increases the burden on public healthcare systems. Other examples include: excessive alcohol consumption leading to anti-social behaviour and NHS burdens; driving fuel-inefficient vehicles worsening air pollution and climate change; overuse of social media causing attention and mental health problems.
在图上,MPB曲线位于MSB曲线上方。市场均衡在MPB=MPC处产生消费量Qm,而社会最优则为Qo。因为Qm > Qo,市场对该商品消费过度。政府通常通过征收间接税(如烟草税、糖税)来缩小MPB与MSB之间的差距。
On a diagram, the MPB curve lies above the MSB curve. The market equilibrium produces consumption Qm at MPB = MPC, while the social optimum is Qo. Since Qm > Qo, the market over-consumes the good. Governments often use indirect taxes (such as tobacco taxes, sugar taxes) to close the gap between MPB and MSB.
Positive Externalities of Production | 生产的正外部性
生产的正外部性发生在企业的生产活动给第三方带来意外收益,但企业未因这些收益获得补偿时。边际社会成本(MSC)低于边际私人成本(MPC),差额为外部收益。
Positive externalities of production occur when a firm’s production activities confer unintended benefits on third parties, but the firm is not compensated for those benefits. The marginal social cost (MSC) is lower than the marginal private cost (MPC), the difference being the external benefit.
一个很好的例子是企业的研发投入。当一家科技公司投资研发新技术时,其创新成果可能通过知识溢出效应惠及其他企业和整个行业。同样,蜜蜂养殖场不仅生产蜂蜜,还通过蜜蜂传粉提高了周边农作物的产量 – 农民受益而养殖者未获得报酬。
A good example is corporate research and development. When a technology firm invests in R&D for new technology, its innovations may benefit other firms and the entire industry through knowledge spillover effects. Similarly, a bee farm not only produces honey but also increases crop yields on surrounding farms through pollination – farmers benefit while the beekeeper is not compensated.
另一个重要案例是企业在可再生能源技术上的投资:安装太阳能电池板的企业降低自身电力成本,同时减少了碳排放,使全社会受益于更清洁的环境。由于MSC低于MPC,市场均衡产量Qm低于社会最优产量Qo – 市场对该商品生产不足。
Another important case is firms investing in renewable energy technology: a business installing solar panels reduces its own electricity costs while also cutting carbon emissions, benefiting the whole of society with a cleaner environment. Since MSC is below MPC, the market equilibrium output Qm is below the socially optimal output Qo – the market underproduces the good.
Positive Externalities of Consumption | 消费的正外部性
消费的正外部性发生在个人消费某商品或服务给第三方带来收益,但消费者并未因产生这些收益获得补偿时。边际社会收益(MSB)高于边际私人收益(MPB),差额为外部收益。
Positive externalities of consumption occur when an individual’s consumption of a good or service confers benefits on third parties, but the consumer is not compensated for generating those benefits. The marginal social benefit (MSB) exceeds the marginal private benefit (MPB), the difference being the external benefit.
教育是最具代表性的例子:个人接受教育提高自身收入潜力(私人收益),但整个社会也受益于更高素质的劳动力、更强的创新能力和更低的犯罪率(外部收益)。同样,接种疫苗保护个人健康的同时,通过群体免疫保护了社区中的弱势群体。
Education is the most representative example: individuals who receive education increase their own earning potential (private benefit), but the whole of society also benefits from a higher-skilled workforce, greater innovation capacity, and lower crime rates (external benefits). Similarly, vaccination protects individual health while also protecting vulnerable members of the community through herd immunity.
在图上,MPB曲线位于MSB曲线下方。市场均衡消费量为Qm,但考虑到全部社会收益,最优消费量应为更高的Qo。政府通常通过补贴(如免费教育、公立大学)和强制规定(如义务教育法)来鼓励消费达到社会最优水平。
On a diagram, the MPB curve lies below the MSB curve. The market equilibrium consumption is Qm, but considering the full social benefits, the optimal consumption should be the higher Qo. Governments typically use subsidies (such as free education, state universities) and mandates (such as compulsory education laws) to encourage consumption to the socially optimal level.
Public Goods and the Free Rider Problem | 公共物品与搭便车问题
公共物品同时具备非竞争性(一人消费不减少他人可用量)和非排他性(无法阻止任何人享用)。这两个特征使得私人市场无法有效提供公共物品,因为企业无法向使用者收费。
Public goods are simultaneously non-rivalrous (one person’s consumption does not reduce availability to others) and non-excludable (no one can be prevented from enjoying them). These two characteristics make it impossible for the private market to provide public goods efficiently, because firms cannot charge users.
灯塔是经济学教科书中经典的公共物品例子:一艘船利用灯塔导航不会减少其他船只使用灯塔的能力(非竞争性),且无法阻止任何船只使用灯塔的光线(非排他性)。国防是另一个典型例子:保护一个公民不会减少对其他公民的保护,也无法选择性地只保护付费的人。
The lighthouse is the classic public good in economics textbooks: one ship using the lighthouse for navigation does not reduce other ships’ ability to use it (non-rivalry), and it is impossible to prevent any ship from using the lighthouse’s light (non-excludability). National defence is another classic example: protecting one citizen does not reduce protection for others, and it is impossible to selectively protect only those who pay.
搭便车问题指的是:由于无法被排除,个人和企业会选择不付费而享受公共物品。如果每个人都试图搭便车,公共物品将无法被供应 – 即使全社会都从中受益。这就是政府介入、通过税收筹集资金来提供公共物品的经济学理由。
The free rider problem refers to the fact that, because they cannot be excluded, individuals and firms will choose not to pay while still enjoying the public good. If everyone attempts to free-ride, the public good will not be supplied – even though the whole of society benefits from it. This is the economic justification for government intervention: funding public goods through taxation.
需要注意的是,准公共物品(quasi-public goods)仅具备其中一个特征。例如,收费公路具有排他性(可通过收费站阻止未付费者使用),但在不拥挤时具有非竞争性。有线电视也具有排他性但非竞争性。这些商品通常由私人市场提供,但可能需要监管。
It is important to note that quasi-public goods possess only one of the two characteristics. For example, toll roads are excludable (non-payers can be stopped at toll booths) but non-rivalrous when uncongested. Cable television is also excludable but non-rivalrous. These goods are often provided by the private market but may require regulation.
Information Asymmetry | 信息不对称
信息不对称是指市场交易中一方比另一方拥有更多或更准确的信息。这导致市场无法达到帕累托最优 – 资源被错误配置,交易可能不会在最优水平发生。
Information asymmetry refers to situations in market transactions where one party possesses more or more accurate information than the other. This prevents markets from reaching Pareto optimality – resources are misallocated, and transactions may not occur at the optimal level.
逆向选择发生在交易之前:拥有更多信息的一方利用信息优势以对另一方不利的条件进行交易。阿克洛夫(Akerlof)的”柠檬市场”模型以二手车市场为例:卖家比买家更了解车辆质量,买家无法区分好车(桃子)和坏车(柠檬),因此只愿意支付平均价格。这导致好车退出市场,市场质量持续恶化。
Adverse selection occurs before the transaction: the party with more information exploits their informational advantage to transact on terms unfavourable to the other. Akerlof’s “market for lemons” model uses the used-car market: sellers know more about vehicle quality than buyers, buyers cannot distinguish good cars (peaches) from bad ones (lemons), so they are only willing to pay an average price. This drives good cars out of the market, and quality continues to deteriorate.
道德风险发生在交易之后:一方在获得保障后改变行为,承担更多风险,因为他们不承担全部后果。保险市场是典型案例:投保后的人可能不如未投保时那样谨慎(如安装更少的防盗设备),因为他们知道保险公司将承担大部分损失。
Moral hazard occurs after the transaction: a party changes behaviour after obtaining protection, taking on more risk because they do not bear the full consequences. Insurance markets are the classic case: insured individuals may be less careful than they would be without insurance (such as installing fewer anti-theft devices), because they know the insurance company will bear most of the loss.
金融市场监管、产品安全标准、强制信息披露(如食品标签)和专业资格认证都是应对信息不对称的政策工具。这些干预旨在使信息更对称,从而让市场更有效地运作。
Financial market regulation, product safety standards, mandatory information disclosure (such as food labelling), and professional qualification certification are all policy tools addressing information asymmetry. These interventions aim to make information more symmetric, enabling markets to operate more efficiently.
Government Intervention to Correct Market Failure | 政府干预纠正市场失灵
当市场失灵发生时,政府有多种政策工具可以介入以改善资源配置效率。每种工具针对不同类型的市场失灵,其适用性和有效性各有不同。
When market failure occurs, governments have a range of policy tools to intervene and improve resource allocation efficiency. Each tool targets different types of market failure, and their suitability and effectiveness vary.
税收和补贴是最常用的工具。对于负外部性,庇古税(Pigouvian tax)旨在通过使私人成本等于社会成本来内部化外部成本。例如,碳税使污染者为其排放付费,从而减少过度生产。对于正外部性,补贴(如教育补贴、可再生能源补贴)旨在通过增加私人收益来激励更多消费或生产。
Taxes and subsidies are the most commonly used tools. For negative externalities, a Pigouvian tax aims to internalise the external cost by making private cost equal to social cost. For example, a carbon tax makes polluters pay for their emissions, thereby reducing overproduction. For positive externalities, subsidies (such as education subsidies, renewable energy subsidies) aim to incentivise greater consumption or production by increasing private benefits.
管制和立法通过法律手段直接限制或要求某些行为。禁止在某些区域吸烟、规定车辆排放标准、强制儿童接受教育都是典型的管制措施。管制直接有效,但可能缺乏灵活性,执行成本较高。
Regulation and legislation directly restrict or require certain behaviours through legal means. Bans on smoking in certain areas, vehicle emission standards, and compulsory education for children are all typical regulatory measures. Regulation is direct and effective but may lack flexibility and involve high enforcement costs.
可交易许可证(tradable permits)或排污权交易是一种市场化的解决方案。政府设定总排放上限,然后向企业分配或拍卖排放配额。企业可根据自身减排成本在市场上买卖配额 – 减排成本低的企业可出售多余配额,减排成本高的企业可购买配额。欧盟排放交易体系(EU ETS)是最大的碳市场。
Tradable permits or cap-and-trade systems are a market-based solution. The government sets a total emissions cap, then allocates or auctions emission allowances to firms. Firms can buy and sell allowances on the market based on their own abatement costs – firms with low abatement costs can sell surplus allowances, while those with high costs can buy them. The EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) is the largest carbon market.
Evaluation of Government Policies | 政府政策评估
政府干预虽然旨在纠正市场失灵,但也存在自身的局限性。政策评估是A-Level考试的核心考点 – 学生需要能够批判性地分析政策的优缺点,而不仅限于描述。
Although government intervention aims to correct market failure, it also has its own limitations. Policy evaluation is a core examination focus at A-Level – students must be able to critically analyse the strengths and weaknesses of policies, not just describe them.
政府失灵(government failure)是指政府干预反而使资源配置效率恶化的情况。可能的原因包括:信息不足导致政策设计不当、官僚机构效率低下、特殊利益集团俘获监管机构、以及政策意外后果。例如,农业价格支持可能导致过量生产和环境破坏。
Government failure refers to situations where government intervention actually worsens resource allocation efficiency. Possible causes include: inadequate information leading to poorly designed policies, bureaucratic inefficiency, regulatory capture by special interest groups, and unintended policy consequences. For example, agricultural price supports may lead to overproduction and environmental damage.
税收的效率取决于需求价格弹性。对于需求缺乏弹性的商品(如香烟、汽油),税收对减少消费的效果有限但能产生可观的政府收入。对于需求富有弹性的商品,税收可显著减少消费但收入较少,并可能导致非正规市场(黑市)的兴起。
The effectiveness of taxation depends on price elasticity of demand. For goods with inelastic demand (such as cigarettes, petrol), taxes have limited effect on reducing consumption but can generate substantial government revenue. For goods with elastic demand, taxes can significantly reduce consumption but yield less revenue and may lead to the emergence of informal markets (black markets).
补贴面临的主要挑战是机会成本 – 用于补贴的政府资金本可用于其他用途。此外,补贴可能产生依赖效应,使受补贴行业丧失创新动力。确定正确的补贴水平也很困难:补贴过低无法有效纠正市场失灵,补贴过高则造成资源浪费。
The main challenge facing subsidies is opportunity cost – government funds used for subsidies could have been deployed elsewhere. Additionally, subsidies may create dependency effects, causing subsidised industries to lose their incentive to innovate. Determining the correct subsidy level is also difficult: too low fails to correct market failure effectively, too high wastes resources.
跨政策比较要求学生认识到不存在”一刀切”的解决方案。外部性的性质、受影响群体的规模、执行可行性、政治因素和国际协调都在决定最佳政策组合中扮演着角色。
Cross-policy comparison requires students to recognise that there is no one-size-fits-all solution. The nature of the externality, the scale of the affected population, enforcement feasibility, political factors, and international coordination all play a role in determining the optimal policy mix.
Key Diagrams for Exam Success | 考试关键图表
Edexcel A-Level经济学考试高度重视图表分析能力。掌握以下核心图表对于考试取得高分至关重要。每个图表都需要清晰标注坐标轴、曲线和均衡点。
The Edexcel A-Level Economics examination places heavy emphasis on diagrammatic analysis. Mastering the following core diagrams is crucial for achieving high marks. Every diagram requires clear labelling of axes, curves, and equilibrium points.
负外部性图:画出MPC和MSC曲线(或MPB和MSB曲线),标注自由市场均衡和社会最优均衡,标出福利损失三角形。务必在图中清晰展示过度生产(或过度消费)的区域。
Negative externality diagram: draw the MPC and MSC curves (or MPB and MSB curves), label the free market equilibrium and the social optimum, and indicate the deadweight loss triangle. Be sure to clearly show the area of overproduction (or overconsumption) in the diagram.
正外部性图:类似结构,但MSC低于MPC(或MSB高于MPB),展示的是生产不足或消费不足。福利损失三角形同样表示资源配置未达到社会最优时的损失。
Positive externality diagram: similar structure, but MSC is below MPC (or MSB is above MPB), showing underproduction or underconsumption. The deadweight loss triangle again represents the loss when resource allocation has not reached the social optimum.
税收效果图:在MPC曲线上方画出MPC+tax曲线(或需求曲线上移表示间接税),展示税后新均衡和税收收入矩形区域。比较新均衡与社会最优之间的距离,评估税收的有效性。
Tax effect diagram: draw the MPC+tax curve above the MPC curve (or shift the demand curve for an indirect tax), show the new post-tax equilibrium and the tax revenue rectangle. Compare the distance between the new equilibrium and the social optimum to evaluate the tax’s effectiveness.
补贴效果图:在MC曲线上方画出原始供给曲线,补贴后供给曲线下移,展示新均衡。标注补贴的总成本矩形和消费者与生产者之间的分配。
Subsidy effect diagram: draw the original supply curve above the MC curve, the supply curve shifts down after the subsidy, showing the new equilibrium. Label the total cost rectangle of the subsidy and its division between consumers and producers.
Real-World Applications and Case Studies | 现实应用与案例研究
将理论应用于现实世界是Edexcel考试中获取评估分(evaluation marks)的关键。以下是几个可以直接运用于考试答案的重要案例,涵盖不同国家和不同政策工具。
Applying theory to the real world is key to securing evaluation marks in Edexcel examinations. Below are several important case studies that can be used directly in exam answers, covering different countries and different policy tools.
英国糖税(Soft Drinks Industry Levy, 2018):对含糖饮料按含糖量分级征收,旨在减少肥胖和相关的NHS成本。评估点:该税收显著推动了饮料行业的配方改革(许多制造商降低了糖含量),且税收收入被用于学校体育项目(双重红利)。但该税收是累退性的,低收入家庭负担比例更高。
UK Sugar Tax (Soft Drinks Industry Levy, 2018): a tiered levy on sugar-sweetened beverages based on sugar content, aimed at reducing obesity and associated NHS costs. Evaluation points: the tax significantly drove product reformulation in the beverage industry (many manufacturers reduced sugar content), and the revenue was hypothecated for school sports programmes (double dividend). However, the tax is regressive, with lower-income households bearing a proportionally higher burden.
欧盟排放交易体系(EU ETS):世界上最大的碳市场,覆盖电力、工业和航空部门。评估点:通过市场机制以最低成本实现减排 – 企业自主决定减排方式。但碳价波动剧烈(曾跌至每吨不足3欧元),削弱了长期投资减排技术的确定性。免费配额过度分配也降低了该体系的初期有效性。
EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS): the world’s largest carbon market, covering power, industrial, and aviation sectors. Evaluation points: achieves emission reductions at the lowest cost through market mechanisms – firms decide autonomously how to abate. However, carbon prices have been highly volatile (falling below 3 euros per tonne at one point), undermining long-term certainty for investment in abatement technology. Overallocation of free allowances also reduced the system’s early effectiveness.
新加坡拥堵收费(Electronic Road Pricing, ERP):自1998年起对进入中央商务区的车辆按时间、地点和车型实时收费。评估点:相比传统管制(如车牌限号),价格机制更灵活高效,可随交通状况动态调整。但也存在公平性问题 – 高收入者仍可随意使用,低收入通勤者被排除。新加坡同时大力投资公共交通,形成政策组合。
Singapore’s Electronic Road Pricing (ERP): since 1998, real-time charges for vehicles entering the central business district based on time, location, and vehicle type. Evaluation points: compared to traditional regulation (such as number-plate restrictions), the price mechanism is more flexible and efficient, adjusting dynamically to traffic conditions. However, equity concerns exist – high-income individuals can still use roads freely while lower-income commuters are priced out. Singapore simultaneously invested heavily in public transport, creating a policy mix.
Summary | 总结
市场失灵是A-Level经济学的核心主题,它解释了为什么自由市场并不总是产生最优结果。通过外部性、公共物品和信息不对称的视角,我们可以系统地分析市场无法有效配置资源的原因,并评估各种政府干预措施的有效性。
Market failure is a central theme in A-Level Economics, explaining why free markets do not always produce optimal outcomes. Through the lenses of externalities, public goods, and information asymmetry, we can systematically analyse why markets fail to allocate resources efficiently and evaluate the effectiveness of various government interventions.
成功的A-Level经济学学生不仅能够识别市场失灵的类型,还能够在图表上准确展示,并结合现实案例进行批判性评估。记住:政府干预本身也可能导致政府失灵 – 最优的解决方案通常是精心设计的政策组合而非单一措施。
Successful A-Level Economics students can not only identify types of market failure but also accurately represent them on diagrams and critically evaluate them using real-world case studies. Remember: government intervention itself can lead to government failure – the optimal solution is typically a carefully designed policy mix rather than a single measure.
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